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11/6/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Sandown

Nine races will be run and won at Sandown Hillside this Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (9) and the rail is out eight meters for the entire circuit.

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Race 1. (11:50) Ive > Print Hcp 1000m

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Back Me

3 Winning Revolution (BetNow: $3.80 TOP ODDS) is a beauty for Peter Moody. This juvenile has had two career outings. Pushed Aitch Two Oh all the way on debut in the Without Fear at Morphettville before going to Sale where he was there to be run down but found under Nolen and fended off Eros to win well, just. He’s a fighter and has the hard race experience/fitness under the belt.

Danger

4 Eros (BetNow: $2.60 TOP ODDS) ran a narrow second to Winning Revolution in that Sale race. He was first up and had the cold sit on the eventual winner. Looked the winner himself when presented but just couldn’t quite finish the job. Better for the run, he has the form to give this a shake.

Longshot

2 Penultimate One (BetNow: $21.00 TOP ODDS) is on the seven day back up for Rod Symons after winning last Saturday at Bendigo. He was unwanted in betting but he seemingly got through the mud best late, driving hard late to win. How strong was the race? Not sure, but he has the hard run under the belt and bit of juice in the track will be no issue.

Race 2. (12:25) Ladbroke It Hcp 1000m

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Back Me

3 Ashford Street (BetNow: $3.70 TOP ODDS) is an absolute beauty for Ken Elford. Got the A1 run in transit at Caulfield last time and he duly saluted, bolting up under Teo Nugent. Run prior behind Easy Single was very good at Flemington, so hard to knock the way he is racing at the moment.

Danger

5 Starry Legend (BetNow: $4.80 TOP ODDS), I think, could be a flat track bully, and his chances will be known soon after jumping. He either needs to lead or get control outside the leader. He had to chase a very fast Young Liam two weeks ago at Caulfield and got the better of him, but couldn’t hold out Ashford Street. I think he can bounce back.

Longshot

8 Whipcracker Way (BetNow: $7.50 TOP ODDS) is knocking on the door. He was somewhat luckless two back here behind Starry Legend before going to Caulfield when beaten narrowly by an in form Jigsaw. Good record when he gets his toe in and down in the weights, he’s a key threat.

Race 3. (13:00) Ladbrokes Switch (Bm70) 1600m

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Back Me

1 Rusutsu (BetNow: $7.50 TOP ODDS) looks really well placed in a race like this. Former UK mare that made her Australian debut for Team Freedman over 1400m on the Lakeside track here and she was a real eye catcher from near last in the run behind Mitilda. Reckon she might want one more, but fitter and up to the mile looks a set up for her to take beating.

Danger

2 Miltida (BetNow: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) is a consistent mare for Matt Cumani that got a well deserved city win next to her name on the Lakeside track here last start, helped by a lovely steer from Willow, who got her into a dream spot behind the speed and finished best. 1600m is a query, but she’s very genuine.

Longshot

7 Vittoria (BetNow: $4.20 TOP ODDS) is knocking on the door for WaterBott. Ran on the Lakeside track here last time out and tried her guts out in the straight, trying to come back and beat Princess Rhaenys, but that mare just had a bit too much class and was too good, just. That form is strong for a race like this. Just doesn’t want the track too wet.

Race 4. (13:35) Thoroughbred Club Hcp 1600m

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Back Me

3 Star Of Chaos (BetNow: $3.50 TOP ODDS) looks the pony to beat based on her absolute spank job win on the Lakeside track here last Wednesday where she lapped up the bog surface and gave them a spanking. Clearly has a liking for wet ground so with that in mind, I have to be in her corner.

Danger

10 Naval Seals (BetNow: $5.50 TOP ODDS) looks an above average colt for Chris Waller. He spanked them to break the maiden two back at Ballarat before going to Caulfield where he surged hard late from off the speed, just missing out on picking up Hopon Harry in a blanket finish. Hard to beat I’d suggest.

Longshot

11 Cheerful Moment (BetNow: $41.00 TOP ODDS) can be a big improver at a massive price. He was good from the back two back at Warrnambool before going to Caulfield where they rode him warm and it backfired when down the track behind Hopon Harry. More conservative steer and he run an improved race.

Race 5. (14:10) Tile Import (Bm78) 1300m

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Back Me

8 Arranmore (BetNow: $34.00) doesn’t have the best of winning strike rates but that doesn’t reflect her true ability. Ran over 1400m at Flemington three weeks ago…well, it was essentially a barrier trial. She had no luck in the straight and went to the line under a hold. If she gets clear air this time around, she can win for sure.

Danger

2 Kir Royale (BetNow: $4.40) has found winning form and can certainly hold it. Bit on the plain side first up at Eagle Farm behind Minsk Moment before going to 1400m at Flemington where she was given a peach steer by Prebble to bolt up three weeks ago, and she was dominant. Hard to beat if she can hold that.

Longshot

6 Rioyuki (BetNow: $15.00) is a Beetroot Williams trained filly that resumes. She did a pretty good job during the Spring/Summer, which ended with a far from disgraced effort in The Vanity behind Barb Raider, who is the best 3YO filly in Victoria. Couple of jumpouts to get ready, I think she’ll run well fresh.

Race 6. (14:45) Ladbrokes Mates Mode (Bm78) 2400m

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Back Me

1 Monbaher (BetNow: $5.50) looks a progressive import for Matt Cumani. Two Australian runs have been strong, winning in dominant fashion at his Australian debut at Ballarat. He then went to 2100m on the Lakeside track here and closed off well, but was no match for the finale of Reuber. He’ll eat up 2400m and wetter the better.

Danger

3 Gate Crash (BetNow: $3.20) is putting together a good little record. Strong winner on the Lakeside track here last Wednesday, defying a betting drift and giving nothing else a look in late in a dominating display. He’s got more to come and confidant he can measure up here.

Longshot

7 Accountability (BetNow: $20.00) is three weeks between runs for Chris Waller since racing over 2500m at Flemington where he was near a very genuine tempo and actually didn’t do a bad job to stick on like he did in defeat behind Pesto, who ran well last Saturday. Reckon with a more gentle speed, he can run an improved race.

Race 7. (15:20) Ladbrokes Mega Multi (Bm78) 1600m

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Back Me

4 Falls (BetNow: $16.00) loves wet ground, loves this track, looks ready to peak…happy to back him each way. He ran two weeks ago at Caulfield and I thought warmed to the task nicely late behind D’Aguilar. He is a swimmer and Olly clicks with him, so I’ll back him each way.

Danger

1 Chief Altony (BetNow: $7.50) is another that swims so he gets conditions to suit. Lapped up the mud when winning last Wednesday on the Lakeside course here, powering over the ground to win with real authority. Proven Saturday metro performer, he’ll take beating here.

Longshot

13 Good And Proper (BetNow: $21.00) should be suited up in trip for Matt Ellerton. Talented mare that resumed two weeks ago over 1400m at Caulfield and while she was never a winning threat, her finale was more than sound behind D’Aguilar, a promising animal, so the form reads well.

Race 8. (16:00) Ladbrokes Same Race Multi-Bm84 1300m

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Back Me

11 Sig Positano (BetNow: $3.90) is crying out for further and a bigger track and voila he gets that set up here. All three runs this time in have come over 1200m, the latest being two weeks ago at Caulfield when a mile back in the run but finished off with purpose late in the piece behind Jigsaw. Eat up an extra 100m here and is hard to beat.

Danger

5 Bee Hunter (BetNow: $7.00) is flying for John Sadler. Market wanted him with confidence when racing a few weeks back at Flemington over 1400m and he was very good from the back when close up in defeat behind Triple Missile. If he can be within range with a drag into the race, he’ll be hard to hold out.

Longshot

16 Nerona (BetNow: $26.00) is one of these horses for the meeting that swims and could easily be smashed in betting at $26+. He lumped 61kg to win on a very testing track at Echuca last time, knuckling down strongly to win. Right down in the weights, he’s a must back at the price.

Race 9. (16:34) Ladbrokes Punter Assist Hcp 1800m

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Back Me

10 Royal Mile (BetNow: $12.00) looks ready to rock and roll. Three weeks between runs since contesting the RA Lee on the course proper here where he stuck on and was far from disgraced in defeat behind Belle Plaisir. Not sure he’s quite up to Stakes grade, so this looks really good placement.

Danger

6 Mankayan (BetNow: $4.20) is one of these Maher/Eustace gallopers that could be the 2022 version of Persan/Grand Promenade, that goes through their grades, keeps winning and ends up in a Melbourne Cup. Unlucky not to get to a Melbourne Cup last year but his first up win at Caulfield was impressive and he looks as if he’ll keep improving and potentially keep winning. Really good horse.

Longshot

15 Khoekhoe… (BetNow: $SP.00) I have no idea what they are doing with this horse. I thought him running over longer trips was a thing of the past but here he is, 1400m to 2000m, and to be fair, his two runs back have been plain, but his career best efforts have come when stepping up in trip.

BEST BETS: Race Four Number 3 Star Of Chaos

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 8 Arranmore

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 4 Falls

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 3, 7, 11

Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 5, 13

Leg Three: 3, 5, 11, 12

Leg Four: 5, 6, 10, 11, 15

$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.



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